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pre03/19/2026 5:09:59 AM

2026-03-19 Morning Brief

2026-03-18 Morning Brief

Economic Calendar

DateEventPreviousEstimateActualImpact
2026-03-19 08:00:00Building Permits MoM (Jan)4.800-5.400-4.700⭐️
2026-03-19 08:00:00Building Permits (Jan)1.4551.3761.386⭐️
2026-03-19 08:30:00Continuing Jobless Claims (Mar/07)1850.0001850.000NaN⭐️⭐️⭐️
2026-03-19 08:30:00Initial Jobless Claims (Mar/14)213.000215.000NaN⭐️⭐️⭐️
2026-03-19 08:30:00Philly Fed Business Conditions (Mar)42.800NaNNaN⭐️
2026-03-19 08:30:00Philly Fed Prices Paid (Mar)38.900NaNNaN⭐️
2026-03-19 08:30:00Philly Fed CAPEX Index (Mar)14.400NaNNaN⭐️
2026-03-19 08:30:00Philly Fed Employment (Mar)-1.300NaNNaN⭐️
2026-03-19 08:30:00Philly Fed New Orders (Mar)11.700NaNNaN⭐️
2026-03-19 08:30:00Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Mar/14)212.000213.750NaN⭐️⭐️⭐️
2026-03-19 08:30:00Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Mar)16.30010.000NaN⭐️⭐️
2026-03-19 10:00:00Leading Index MoM (Jan)-0.200-0.100NaN⭐️
2026-03-19 10:00:00Wholesale Inventories MoM (Jan)0.2000.200NaN⭐️
2026-03-19 10:00:00New Home Sales (Jan)0.7450.720NaN⭐️⭐️⭐️
2026-03-19 10:00:00Wholesale Sales MoM (Jan)1.000NaNNaN⭐️
2026-03-19 10:30:00EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change (Mar/13)-38.00039.000NaN⭐️
2026-03-19 11:30:008-Week Bill Auction3.625NaNNaN⭐️
2026-03-19 11:30:004-Week Bill Auction3.640NaNNaN⭐️
2026-03-19 12:00:0030-Year Mortgage Rate (Mar/19)6.110NaNNaN⭐️
2026-03-19 12:00:0015-Year Mortgage Rate (Mar/19)5.500NaNNaN⭐️
2026-03-19 13:00:0010-Year TIPS Auction1.940NaNNaN⭐️
2026-03-19 16:30:00Fed Balance Sheet (Mar/18)6.650NaNNaN⭐️

Earnings Calendar

SymbolEPS ActualEPS EstimatedRevenue ActualRevenue Estimated
SDA-0.04--
FGBI0.1595-0.2922347000.031200000.0
SHCMF----
MACIU0.08084---
PAOTF----
SATLW0.2272-0.056247000.03833333.0
CVKD--1.165--
CNMTF----
CNTX--0.11--
AACAY0.20650.19722690294031.02677493405.0
LNDZF----
BFRIW-0.195-16149999.0
BIGGQ-1.27-1423000000.0
CKHUY0.35570.355720706293000.020706292318.0
ECOR--0.402-9126330.0
SOHON---44000000.0
BIOA--0.73836-1399000.0
PROP0.3050.315104000000.0113000000.0
UDIRF-0.2119-1845901059.0
CBSTF--0.0359-79892620.0
ALEX0.051850.1350985000.049200000.0
NMTLF----
FWEDF----
CATO----
LBRX--0.4475--
TPICQ--0.66-328800000.0
HMDPF-1.19-169475857.0
LUNR--0.06164-58998250.0
SMSOF-0.07172-946764420.0
IGGRF----
CNLFF----
NVNO--9.8--
SOHOB---44000000.0
CWBHF--0.03-12326000.0
SLSR--0.07667--
AVTX--1.45849--
YI---599574240.0
IDN-0.02-6193250.0
LAZR--0.64--
KHTRF--0.00291-86174573.0
ALMTF----
TIGR0.2640.195175574680.0146018000.0
GENK--0.12-58770000.0
USDP----
SIG-6.1-2344540870.0
BTCS-0.01-4500000.0
TLLTF--0.0352-32918401.0
AVAH0.8310.1505662480000.0649478880.0
BCVVF----
DLTH0.230.1464215893000.0210650000.0
AUID----
KOPN--0.015-10947000.0
XXII--2.1-4050000.0
PHUN--0.135-605000.0
CJRCF-0.00715--
SLS--0.06333--
SGLFF---234128585.0
IFRX--0.17148-30077.31
PITPY----
ARCO-0.2026-1262759250.0
SLDB--0.51179--
CSAI--0.1--
VOR--1.06601--
MTVA--1.82--
CRPHY----
SHZNY----
NGXXF----
BLFY--0.1-12853000.0
QNRX--4.02--
MPLT----
BCUFF----
USAR-0.17-0.15656--
PFRRF----
ALAR-0.005-12006500.0
ARAAF----
HLFFF1.281.271842083387.02052658730.0
MITJF----
GUKYF--0.06-66000000.0
LNXSF--0.68058-1511602713.0
CKHUF0.35730.357120798532078.020788683213.0
TII--0.00991-29354000.0
STRO--8.16266-9262804.0
TNON--0.36-1378500.0
CMPS--0.40297--
PCSA--1.25--
OTRKQ--0.64-3697000.0
LAZRQ--0.64-9000000.0
RMGOF----
TLTFF---218741.25
ATER--0.58-18382000.0
SBOEF-0.1057-113575116.0
NNDM----
MOGO--0.07--
JTKWY----
TGS0.6730.555390747155.0322038014.0
SBDS-48.045642.6694034000.0143476000.0
GEMI--1.04364-51811170.0
TAPM----
GNE-0.07-114230000.0
MNPR--0.42875--
ARX-0.17-249290500.0
SFHLF----
SYZLF--0.01068-11112055.0
KBRLF-0.2021-100657978.0
VIORF----
BIOYF---7510116.25
GCUMF----
ELME-0.25436-0.03385-185695000.025154000.0
AKEMF----
LX0.08864-435038144.0-
AYRWF--0.31527-114035920.0
SOTDF-1.63-558763900.0
EEENF----
IMNN--1.015--
BRIBF--0.00858--
PRRCF----
SRZN--1.2875-661000.0
ETON-0.1333-20579000.0
LE0.39650.78462372000.0471005500.0
PHI0.3870.596935707800.0959140199.0
BGMSP--72.0-25000.0
ACCS-0.16-5835500.0
SFRGF--0.04698-286484853.0
CLSZF----
ESOCF-0.1575-30446074220.0
AEBI-0.2577-538026670.0
RCON--0.51-4700000.0
CLYYF----
CLDI--1.56--
FPAYQ-0.1-40200000.0
ELDN--0.192--
BGMS--72.0-25000.0
PYTCF----
CAL--0.40301-685424000.0
SLTTF----
PL--0.04721-78165850.0
ECELF----
GRAF----
AACAF0.2030.20012644617040.02717813274.0
WHTCF-0.07451-280847293.0
CICOY-0.724-15316174970.0
RDHL----
CABA--0.4579--
VNNVF-0.502-981921369.0
CCPUF--0.02185-1966140.0
BEVVF----
UBAAF----
CIG-0.05412-1744228788.0
MVO----
ADAPY--0.059-4850000.0
SRAIF0.8990.8962885049322.02873469200.0
TITN-1.58785-0.95641834000.0615531750.0
CIG-C-0.05412-1833424543.0
EXXAF-0.934-1238520000.0
BYLTF--0.01456-12541165.0
OONEF----
DVLT--0.09-24700000.0
NOTE-WT--0.645-22399000.0
AFIB--0.19-12400000.0
IMVIF----
CAMLF-0.18-123600000.0
SHGKY----
VPHIF----
EVLO----
RKDA----
SZGPY--0.02--
NOWVF---9650000.0
ZIJMY----
SNWV-0.17-13225500.0
HISNF----
RLMD--0.14862--
ACN2.842.8418044066000.017842686221.0
HLKHF---2304388619.0
LNNGF-0.05861-2022556121.0
CPFXF----
JUBPF----
QD----
INV--0.32--
CGTX--0.06--
TSHA--0.09561-1889000.0
VOXR-0.03-6653330.0
URZEF----
AZRGF-1.15-242566752.0
TRC-0.05-13944000.0
FORTY----
JUSHF--0.06-67500000.0
ZYXIQ--0.18-21400000.0
HSNGF-0.4496-2657284636.0
PRBZF0.9420.9351384705945.01555443239.0
BRYGF----
LONA--1.3511--
CSPKY----
MGTX--0.57-3870830.0
SKYH--0.115-8704750.0
ZHEXF----
VOC----
BABAF0.22550.206841802708927.042053416995.0
LU-1.34-2813234357.0
EFVIF----
DRIO--3.2425-5048250.0
SONDQ----
URNAF----
STHFF----
UBLXF---253793680.0
FMCXF--0.00226--
NRXS----
RTLLF-7.49-391226869.0
BTTC----
OTGLF-0.2272-63470165.0
MISVF----
ASST--0.2-1671500.0
STG----
CHKGF0.2570.25695077197849.05074793673.0
NCNA--2.6944--
THURF----
AWX----
BFRI-0.195-16146500.0
GOCO--2.0175-88620140.0
DC-0.07-0.0694--
SCHL--0.365-331032500.0
TLPH--0.075--
PL-WT--0.04721-78198712.0
BTVRF----
MGRX----
UAMY-0.0053-12766670.0
SNTI--0.4125-1000000.0
GBR----
JSPR--0.71472--
DRI2.632.943345300000.03330571190.0
SATL0.2373-0.056247000.03833330.0
CFWFF--0.03277-221730713.0
CNTRF-0.00276---
FCODF9.8-1617156891.0-
PTRUF----
MAORF----
PUPOF-0.1527-2666750205.0
TBLT----
XEBEQ-0.0029-77355016.0
SRZNW--1.2875-661000.0
CELC--1.04189--
ALTI-0.02-86600000.0
TCCHF-0.3876-348699137.0
LNXSY--0.19035-1516443989.0
VAUCF----
VOSSF---367777600.0
TERN--0.29--
BSXGF----
MACI0.08084---
PESI--0.0935-17700000.0
MYBUF---107345140.0
TSKFF----
RVSNW----
SRG----
MHIVF----
SYYYF-0.07137-1343559057.0
NYXH--0.63952-6551038.5
GRWG--0.0746-40024000.0
IRMTF-0.4438-48944900.0
CBKCQ----
AQMS--4.0-1200000.0
ENLAY-0.1557-30446074220.0
OMER--0.57--
HSWLF---56376480.0
ICLTF----
MAZE--0.68949--
PXGYF----
CLLS--0.20333-10735380.0
CMVLF--0.2056-10735380.0
BABA1.011.6540709721811.036059522627.0
ZRSEF---383844020.0
PBATF-0.00373-596793780.0
FDX-4.15-23484288160.0
BRAG--0.0274-32344430.0
ATEK-0.03093---
CURV--0.12533-231109180.0
CRIS--0.436-3249200.0
DXLG-0.54129-0.035112100000.0112321500.0
BKBLF----
EERGF--0.436-912000000.0
ZZHGF----
WATT--0.84-2000000.0
SVMRF0.01914-0.00764490589.02937552.3
DMIFF----
YRD----
NOTE--0.645-22399000.0
SFRGY--0.02349-593137550.0
TMCWW--0.055--
LNZNF---727280204.0
MCHVF---1172465045.0
IRCWF----
MOV0.5480.52191580000.0182023000.0
ITOCY0.19020.180224276874745.028687001575.0
ASMB--0.8561-7420425.0
ONCSQ----
JSPRW--0.71472--
REE--0.54-100000.0
FLWBF--0.01468-14501864.0
LNSR--0.0664-20300000.0
SOHOO---44000000.0
BEVFF-0.04098-14885312.0
ARMP--0.28-740000.0
ZKH-0.05432-351681600.0
SLAI---1045026.0
PRPL--0.04237-139807850.0
CICOF-0.1458-7729834600.0
VRME-0.01-3447000.0
FLY--0.48873-52409440.0
ODDAF----
CLRI0.00032-1252539.0-
MSAIW--0.1-1900000.0
CDNL-0.29-145806000.0
NEMTF-0.632-370701477.0
CMLSQ--1.04-178100000.0
AGFY-6.82365-10660000.0-
MWH-0.2879-791647750.0
DBVT--0.21262-1058000.0
CSIQ-1.66-0.465841217209000.01354877540.0

The U.S. equity markets exhibited pronounced volatility today amid a confluence of macroeconomic, geopolitical, and sector-specific developments that collectively underscored shifting investor sentiment and structural risks to growth. The immediate catalyst for the selloff stemmed from heightened uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict, which escalated into a significant supply shock as attacks on energy infrastructure in Iran and Qatar disrupted global oil markets. This geopolitical turbulence precipitated a sharp rally in crude prices, breaching the $115 per barrel threshold and triggering a cascade of secondary effects across equity valuations, inflation expectations, and risk appetite. The resultant spike in oil prices, coupled with broader inflationary pressures, intensified concerns over the Federal Reserve’s policy trajectory, as market participants reassessed the probability of delayed rate cuts amid persistent price pressures.

The labor market’s deteriorating outlook further compounded market anxieties, with jobless claims surging 58 percent year-over-year in early 2025, signaling a potential inflection point in the economic recovery. This data, juxtaposed against January’s robust employment figures, painted a mixed picture of cyclical resilience versus structural fragility, particularly within sectors sensitive to interest rates and consumer spending. Analysts noted that while the financial sector had historically outperformed during periods of rate volatility, the current environment—marked by elevated Treasury yields and a bifurcated earnings landscape—demanded a recalibration of risk premia. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 approached critical technical support levels near the 200-day moving average, with the VIX exhibiting a bullish configuration contingent on WTI crude remaining contained below $100 per barrel. However, the structural constraints imposed by the Strait of Hormuz’s operational paralysis, despite record global container fleet growth, introduced a persistent supply-chain vulnerability that could amplify price swings in energy-linked equities.

Sectoral dynamics revealed divergent narratives, with technology stocks facing headwinds from both macroeconomic headwinds and competitive pressures stemming from AI’s accelerating adoption. While the sector had delivered one of its strongest quarters in recent history, buoyed by cost efficiencies and productivity gains from machine learning integration, the immediate aftermath of earnings releases highlighted execution risks tied to capital-intensive R&D cycles. Conversely, financials benefited from a steepening yield curve, as short-term Treasury yields surged following Powell’s reaffirmation of a “higher for longer” monetary stance. This divergence underscored the market’s bifurcation between defensive positioning in rate-sensitive assets and speculative bets on cyclical recovery. Meanwhile, energy majors grappled with margin compression as oil prices, though elevated, failed to outpace inflation-adjusted benchmarks, prompting strategic reassessments of capital allocation.

The policy landscape remained a focal point of institutional scrutiny, with the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold rates steady reflecting a cautious approach to inflation dynamics. Economists projected that while the Middle East conflict would likely exacerbate price pressures, its direct impact on core inflation might remain muted relative to historical precedents such as the 1974 oil embargo or the 1990 Gulf War. However, the persistence of elevated gas prices—surpassing $3.88 per gallon nationally—amplified consumer expenditure risks, particularly in discretionary sectors. This tension between transitory and structural inflationary forces complicated the Fed’s dual mandate, as policymakers weighed the trade-offs between premature easing and prolonged economic stagnation.

Geopolitical risk metrics, as measured by the Fear and Greed Index, remained entrenched in “Extreme Fear,” reflecting heightened sensitivity to supply disruptions and fiscal policy uncertainty. European equities, particularly in Germany and France, faced additional headwinds from energy dependency on Russian imports and regulatory fragmentation, further dampening cross-border trade flows. Meanwhile, the Italian banking sector’s exposure to sovereign debt vulnerabilities added a layer of systemic risk, with analysts cautioning that a spillover from sovereign defaults could trigger contagion effects akin to the 2010 Eurozone crisis.

Despite the prevailing caution, pockets of opportunity emerged in undervalued financials and energy equities, where elevated valuations contrasted with deteriorating fundamentals. The S&P’s technical setup, while technically supportive of a bounce, remained contingent on exogenous variables such as OPEC+ production decisions and fiscal stimulus measures. Institutional investors, meanwhile, prioritized liquidity preservation amid elevated volatility, with money flowing into short-duration bonds and cash equivalents as hedging costs spiked. The interplay between these macro drivers and micro-level earnings revisions will likely determine the trajectory of equity markets over the medium term, with the next earnings season and central bank communications serving as pivotal inflection points.

In summation, today’s market dynamics encapsulated the interdependencies between geopolitical shocks, monetary policy inertia, and sectoral reallocation. While near-term volatility appeared inevitable, the structural underpinnings of economic growth—particularly in AI-driven productivity and energy transition investments—suggested a gradual normalization of risk premia. However, the persistence of elevated inflation, labor market imbalances, and geopolitical fragmentation necessitated a disciplined approach to portfolio construction, emphasizing resilience over speculative alpha generation. Investors were advised to monitor key inflection points, including the Fed’s Q2 policy statements, OPEC+ output decisions, and the resolution of the Middle East conflict, as these variables would shape the contours of market recovery or further deterioration.

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